SALESDAMUS

SALES PREDICTOR

Statistical forecast: OLS regression, Bayesian shrinkage, bootstrap CI and Monte Carlo simulation

▼ SCROLL DOWN ▼

Paste from Excel (Ctrl+V) or fill manually

MONTH ?	SALES ?	EXPENSES ?	CONVERSION % ?

SALES

Total revenue for the period

PROFIT

Net profit after deducting expenses

CONVERSION

Share of buyers from total visitors

GROWTH

Growth relative to previous period

LINEAR TREND[y = a + bt]

Ordinary least squares regression on time series

BAYESIAN SHRINKAGE[P(θ|data)]

Shrinkage toward the mean for small-sample forecast stabilization

BOOTSTRAP CI[x̄* ± CI]

Residual resampling for confidence interval construction (1000 iterations)

MONTE CARLO SIM[N(ŷ, σ²)]

Parametric simulation from forecast distribution (10,000 samples)

Press to launch forecast